@article {8821, title = {A functional vulnerability framework for biodiversity conservation}, journal = {Nature Communications}, volume = {13}, year = {2022}, month = {Sep}, pages = {4774}, abstract = {Setting appropriate conservation strategies in a multi-threat world is a challenging goal, especially because of natural complexity and budget limitations that prevent effective management of all ecosystems. Safeguarding the most threatened ecosystems requires accurate and integrative quantification of their vulnerability and their functioning, particularly the potential loss of species trait diversity which imperils their functioning. However, the magnitude of threats and associated biological responses both have high uncertainties. Additionally, a major difficulty is the recurrent lack of reference conditions for a fair and operational measurement of vulnerability. Here, we present a functional vulnerability framework that incorporates uncertainty and reference conditions into a generalizable tool. Through in silico simulations of disturbances, our framework allows us to quantify the vulnerability of communities to a wide range of threats. We demonstrate the relevance and operationality of our framework, and its global, scalable and quantitative comparability, through three case studies on marine fishes and mammals. We show that functional vulnerability has marked geographic and temporal patterns. We underline contrasting contributions of species richness and functional redundancy to the level of vulnerability among case studies, indicating that our integrative assessment can also identify the drivers of vulnerability in a world where uncertainty is omnipresent.}, issn = {2041-1723}, doi = {10.1038/s41467-022-32331-y}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32331-y}, author = {Auber, Arnaud and Waldock, Conor and Maire, Anthony and Goberville, Eric and Albouy, Camille and Algar, Adam C. and McLean, Matthew and Brind{\textquoteright}Amour, Anik and Green, Alison L. and Tupper, Mark and Vigliola, Laurent and Kaschner, Kristin and Kesner-Reyes, Kathleen and Beger, Maria and Tjiputra, Jerry and Toussaint, Aur{\`e}le and Violle, Cyrille and Mouquet, Nicolas and Thuiller, Wilfried and Mouillot, David} } @article {4546, title = {Major drivers of invasion risks throughout the world}, journal = {Ecosphere}, volume = {7}, year = {2016}, pages = {e01241}, abstract = {In this paper, we investigate how climate, land use, habitat characteristics, and socioeconomic activities contribute to predict the current potential distributions of the {\textquotedblleft}100 among the world{\textquoteright}s worst invasive alien species{\textquotedblright}. We calculated the predictive power of each of the 41 variables for the 95 species including a large number of plants, vertebrates and invertebrates. We then calibrated the species distribution models with a set of appropriate variables for each invasive alien species to predict the potential distribution of these species and identify the major regions of origin of the invasive alien species. We found that climate variables were primarily predictors of the distribution of the global invaders studied. In addition, the habitat characteristics were also important predictors following by the socioeconomic variables such as the nearest distance to airports, seaports and human population density. We show that the potential areas at the highest risk of invasions from these species are located in Western Europe, Eastern United States, Central America, the eastern coast of Australia, and some Indonesian islands. We argue that these potential hotspots of invasions should be monitored in priority to prevent new invasions from these species. This study provides evidence of the importance of considering both habitat characteristics, socioeconomic and climate change factors for the current and future predictions of biological invasions.}, doi = {10.1002/ecs2.1241}, url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ecs2.1241/full}, author = {Bellard, C{\'e}line and Leroy, Boris and Thuiller, Wilfried and Rysman, Jean-Fran{\c c}ois and Courchamp, Franck} } @article {8137, title = {Vulnerability of biodiversity hotspots to global change}, journal = {Global Ecology and Biogeography}, volume = {23}, year = {2014}, month = {Jan-12-2014}, pages = {1376 - 1386}, issn = {1466-822X}, doi = {10.1111/geb.2014.23.issue-1210.1111/geb.12228}, url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/14668238/23/12}, author = {Bellard, C{\'e}line and Leclerc, Camille and Leroy, Boris and Bakkenes, Michel and Veloz, Samuel and Thuiller, Wilfried and Courchamp, Franck} }