@article {Chevillot2019473,
	title = {Global Changes Jeopardize the Trophic Carrying Capacity and Functioning of Estuarine Ecosystems},
	journal = {Ecosystems},
	volume = {22},
	number = {3},
	year = {2019},
	note = {cited By 2},
	pages = {473-495},
	publisher = {Springer New York LLC},
	abstract = {At the interface between terrestrial and marine biomes, estuaries display high ecological productivity and provide goods and services to humans. Associated with many ecological functions, they are nursery, refuge, and growing areas for many species fish. These ecological functions and services depend on both their ecological production and trophic carrying capacity and the durability of food web functioning. These transitional key habitats undergo both strong anthropogenic pressures and climatic influences that impact the structure and dynamics of estuarine biodiversity. In this context, we explore, here, three decades of the Gironde estuary ecosystem history to detect the food web{\textquoteright}s response to global changes-induced effect on biodiversity. At least two Ecological Abrupt Shifts associated with deep modifications in the biodiversity at most trophic levels have been documented for this particular ecosystem. Three food web models were thus calibrated, one for each of the three periods discriminated by the two shifts that occurred at the end of the 1980s and the beginning of the 2000s. Results highlighted that the ecotrophic efficiency estimate for subtidal macrofauna and shrimps reached the maximum possible values during the last period. This could mean that the Gironde estuary fully reached its trophic carrying capacity due to a food limitation especially for benthos demersal fish. We also observed a significant decrease in some food web indicators (such as Average Mutual Information, System Omnivory Index, and Average Path Length) usually associated with ecosystem stress, suggesting a significant impact of global change on the Gironde estuary ecosystem health and questioning the sustainability of the ecological functions associated with this ecosystem. {\textcopyright} 2018, Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.},
	keywords = {benthos, carrying capacity, demersal fish, ecosystem function, ecosystem health, food limitation, food web, France, Gironde Estuary, Global change, network analysis, trophic environment},
	issn = {14329840},
	doi = {10.1007/s10021-018-0282-9},
	url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10021-018-0282-9},
	author = {Chevillot, X. and Tecchio, S. and Chaalali, A. and Lassalle, G. and Selleslagh, J. and Castelnaud, G. and David, V. and Guy Bachelet and Nathalie Niquil and Benoit Sautour and Lobry, J.}
}
@article {5813,
	title = {{Global impacts of the 1980s regime shift}},
	journal = {Global Change Biology},
	volume = {22},
	year = {2016},
	abstract = {<p>{\textcopyright} 2016 John Wiley {\&amp;} Sons Ltd. Despite evidence from a number of Earth systems that abrupt temporal changes known as regime shifts are important, their nature, scale and mechanisms remain poorly documented and understood. Applying principal component analysis, change-point analysis and a sequential t-test analysis of regime shifts to 72 time series, we confirm that the 1980s regime shift represented a major change in the Earth{\textquoteright}s biophysical systems from the upper atmosphere to the depths of the ocean and from the Arctic to the Antarctic, and occurred at slightly different times around the world. Using historical climate model simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and statistical modelling of historical temperatures, we then demonstrate that this event was triggered by rapid global warming from anthropogenic plus natural forcing, the latter associated with the recovery from the El Chich{\'o}n volcanic eruption. The shift in temperature that occurred at this time is hypothesized as the main forcing for a cascade of abrupt environmental changes. Within the context of the last century or more, the 1980s event was unique in terms of its global scope and scale; our observed consequences imply that if unavoidable natural events such as major volcanic eruptions interact with anthropogenic warming unforeseen multiplier effects may occur.</p>
},
	keywords = {Climate, Earth systems, Global change, Regime shift, Statistical analysis, Time series, Volcanic forcing},
	issn = {13652486},
	doi = {10.1111/gcb.13106},
	author = {Philip Chris Reid and Renata E. Hari and Gr{\'e}gory Beaugrand and David M. Livingstone and Christoph Marty and Dietmar Straile and Jonathan Barichivich and Goberville, Eric and Rita Adrian and Yasuyuki Aono and Ross Brown and James Foster and Pavel Groisman and Pierre H{\'e}laou{\"e}t and Huang-Hsiung Hsu and Richard R Kirby and Jeff Knight and Alexandra Kraberg and Jianping Li and Tzu-Ting Lo and Ranga B. Myneni and Ryan P. North and Alan J. Pounds and Tim Sparks and Ren{\'e} St{\"u}bi and Yongjun Tian and Karen H. Wiltshire and Dong Xiao and Zaichun Zhu}
}
